"اقتصادیات نفت: پیش‌بینی مازاد جهانی و پایداری صادرات ایران"

IEA sees global oil market surplus for 2025

If OPEC+ extends the unwinding of output cuts beyond April without reining in supply from members currently overproducing versus their targets, another 400,000 b/d could be added to the market, according to Reuters news agency.

“Equally, the scope and scale of tariffs remains unclear, and with trade negotiations continuing apace, it is still too early to assess the impact on the market outlook,” it warned.

The agency still sees oil demand growth just over 1 mb/d, up from 830,000 b/d in 2024, to reach 103.9 mb/d.

Global oil demand is expected to increase by 1.3 million barrels per day or more in 2025 from Asia, especially China, which is a decrease of 70,000 barrels per day compared to the previous estimate, the report added.

Source: Morteza Ahmadi Al Hashem

Iran’s oil exports cannot be stopped: Govt. spokeswoman

In a post on her X account on Saturday, she wrote, “The oil export of the country cannot be stopped. We will not compromise on Iran”s share in the world oil market.”

The spokesperson hailed the Iranian government”s success in neutralizing the impact of sanctions, saying that several ministries are spearheading the campaign against the sanctions, and the Ministry of Oil is one of these most important ministries. When they, Western countries, quickly and hastily impose sanctions against Iranian Oil Minister Mohsen Paknejad, it means that they are concerned about the activities and performance of the Ministry of Oil, she said, adding that if the sanctions imposed previously by Western countries on Iran had worked, they would not have needed to impose new sanctions.

Iran’s oil exports cannot be stopped and the country will not compromise on its share in the world’s oil market, Mohajerani underlined.

In continuation of its oppressive sanctions on Thursday, the United States imposed sanctions on Iran”s oil minister Mohsen Paknejad and some Hong Kong-flagged vessels that were allegedly part of a shadow fleet that helps disguise Iranian oil shipments.

Source: Morteza Ahmadi Al Hashem