"تحديثات العقارات – زيادة الإيجار القديم ومشروعات الإسكان الجديدة"

Dubai’s Property Market Faces Challenges Amidst Unprecedented Growth

Dubai’s real estate market, renowned for its rapid expansion and high returns, is encountering signs of strain as it grapples with unprecedented growth and emerging challenges. The city has experienced a significant surge in property prices, with forecasts indicating an 8% increase in 2025, driven by a shortage of housing supply.

In the third quarter of 2024, Dubai recorded 47,269 property transactions, the highest quarterly figure on record, marking a 41.8% increase compared to the same period in 2023. This surge has led to a 19.9% rise in property prices year-over-year.

Despite the robust demand, the market is facing a significant supply shortage. Knight Frank estimates that approximately 300,000 homes are expected to be built in Dubai between now and the end of 2029, with apartments accounting for 80.1% of the supply and villas making up 17.4%. However, only 8,900 new villas are anticipated by the end of 2024, and an additional 19,700 by the end of 2025, indicating a persistent villa shortage.

This supply-demand imbalance is contributing to rising property prices. Faisal Durrani, Partner and Head of Research for MENA at Knight Frank, noted that house prices in Dubai continue to be fueled by relentless demand, with prices in the mainstream market climbing by 4.3% in the third quarter, taking city-wide prices up by 19.9% compared to the same time last year.

The luxury segment is also experiencing significant growth. Properties valued over $1 million now account for 18.1% of all sales, up from 6.3% in 2020. This trend underscores Dubai’s appeal to high-net-worth individuals seeking premium real estate options.

Looking ahead, industry experts anticipate a moderation in price increases. Farooq Syed, CEO of Springfield Properties, forecasts residential prices to rise between 5% and 10% in 2025, driven by robust demand for off-plan properties. He emphasized that Dubai’s ability to balance rapid expansion with policies prioritizing market stability and long-term value creation will continue to position it as a leader in global real estate.

However, the market’s rapid growth has also led to concerns about affordability and sustainability. The limited availability of sites across key locations is contributing to rising prices for off-plan homes, while stock in the secondary market is experiencing significant price growth, especially where older homes have been refurbished.

The influx of international buyers is influencing the market dynamics. The opening of international schools in Dubai has accompanied significant house-price inflation, as developers create housing projects aimed at affluent families seeking quality education for their children. This trend has notably increased property prices in areas with international schools, as seen in regions such as Brittany, Marbella, Portugal, the south of France, and Switzerland.

In response to the growing demand for luxury properties, developers are undertaking significant projects. For instance, the Trump Organization, in partnership with Saudi real estate company Dar Global, is set to develop Trump-branded properties in Dubai. These ventures include a $4 billion project in Oman and a Trump Tower in Dubai, featuring a hotel and residential units, set to launch next year.

The luxury market is also attracting high-profile individuals. Soccer star Neymar recently purchased a $54.45 million penthouse in Dubai’s Bugatti Residences, underscoring the city’s appeal to affluent buyers.

Despite the challenges, Dubai’s real estate market remains resilient, supported by strategic government reforms, robust foreign investment, and a diversified economic landscape extending beyond oil. The city’s strong infrastructure and investor-friendly policies continue to attract both residents and high-net-worth individuals, positioning Dubai as a preferred destination for long-term investment.

Source: Mark Anderson

Trump’s Influence Reflects in Damac’s $20bn Investment

Damac Properties, a major real estate development company based in the UAE, has announced a remarkable $20 billion investment deal that marks a significant milestone in the continued strengthening of ties between the Gulf region and former President Donald Trump. The deal comes on the heels of growing business activities between the Trump Organization and companies within the UAE, signaling a deepening relationship that blends politics and commerce.

The landmark investment will largely focus on large-scale development projects in the Middle East, particularly in the UAE and surrounding regions, areas that have seen a significant increase in foreign investment in recent years. This particular venture, supported by Damac, which is one of the region’s most influential real estate developers, not only marks a huge financial commitment but also highlights Trump’s ongoing influence in the Middle East, a region where he has cultivated robust business partnerships.

Damac’s decision to align with the Trump Organization further consolidates the firm’s position within the luxury real estate sector, particularly as demand for high-end properties in the Gulf grows. The projects set to be developed under this partnership will span various sectors, from residential to commercial spaces, further enhancing the region’s appeal as a hub for international business.

This growing collaboration between Trump and Gulf-based entities like Damac points to a shift in the way Gulf states are engaging with American businessmen. The partnership reflects a broader trend where the region’s wealthy investors see value in deepening their relationships with powerful political figures, especially those with a global influence, such as Trump.

While Trump’s presidency left a complicated legacy regarding his ties to foreign governments, the current investment underscores the longevity of his business connections, particularly in the UAE, which remains one of the most lucrative and influential partners for Trump outside the United States. Under the terms of the deal, Trump will lend his brand to high-profile projects, which will undoubtedly raise the profile of these developments globally.

The expansion of Trump’s real estate ventures in the region speaks volumes about his sustained business interests in the Middle East. Trump’s brand, which has long been associated with luxury and wealth, aligns seamlessly with the aspirations of Gulf investors looking to increase their visibility on the global stage. The collaboration has also highlighted the shifting dynamics in real estate development, where political figures increasingly play a key role in shaping the future of business deals across borders.

What is especially notable is the involvement of the UAE in these initiatives. As one of the most economically diversified countries in the Middle East, the UAE is positioning itself as a leader in not only finance and tourism but also in the luxury real estate market. The Trump Organization’s presence in the region further underscores the country’s influence and its ability to attract major international investors. Despite concerns over the potential conflicts of interest due to Trump’s dual role as a businessman and political figure, the Gulf region has continued to welcome his projects, leading some analysts to question the broader implications of such investments.

The agreement also raises questions about the future of Trump’s business operations, especially in the context of his ongoing political career. With his political influence diminishing following his presidency, the $20 billion investment deal could be seen as an attempt to stabilize his financial portfolio by aligning with powerful Middle Eastern entities. The Trump Organization’s expansion into luxury real estate markets in the UAE also fits into a broader pattern of American businesses exploring new opportunities in foreign markets that are seen as stable and profitable.

Gulf investors, including those behind Damac, have increasingly demonstrated their willingness to engage with the Trump Organization despite the political controversy that surrounds his name. For many investors in the region, the financial upside of such partnerships outweighs the potential diplomatic fallout, a sign of the region’s prioritization of economic interests over political considerations.

The deal has sparked a mixed reaction. On one hand, it is seen as a symbol of the enduring power of Trump’s brand and his ability to foster profitable business ventures, even after leaving the White House. On the other hand, critics point to the risks of such ties, with concerns over the potential influence that foreign investors could exert over American politics through business arrangements.

Source: The Arabian Post Network