ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2025

ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 21, 2025

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s long-term demands for full Ukrainian capitulation remain unchanged.

Ukrainian officials responded to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s June 20 statements at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) and urged the international community to take more decisive action against Russia.

Kremlin officials appear to be reviving the false narrative that Ukraine intends to use a “dirty bomb” against Russia, likely in an attempt to influence Western discussions about providing additional military assistance to Ukraine.

US Special Envoy to Ukraine General Keith Kellogg met with Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko in Minsk on June 21.

Russia continues to field modernized Shahed drones, expand domestic drone production capabilities, and innovate long-range strike tactics.

The Russian government formally announced its intention to reassess Russia’s territorial waters in the Baltic Sea over a year after the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) published and subsequently deleted a similar proposal.

Russian forces advanced near Novopavlivka and Velyka Novosilka.

Source: ISW

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